Wales v Finland 25/1: Wales 2+ goals, Johnson goal, Ampadu carded, Pukki 1+ SOT

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Wales and Finland meet tonight in Cardiff in a Euro 2024 qualifying play-off semi final, with both sides just two wins away from qualifying for this summer’s championships in Germany.

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  • Wales to score over 1.5 goals Wales have scored seven goals in their last three matches at the Cardiff City Stadium
  • Brennan Johnson to score The Welshman has scored three goals in his last seven matches for Tottenham, despite starting just two of those games
  • Ethan Ampadu to be carded The Welshman has received at least three more yellow cards than any other Leeds player this season
  • Teemu Pukki to have 1+ shot on target The former Norwich star is averaging 2.5 shots per game for Minnesota United this season

Wales are one of a handful of teams in competitive action this March international break, as they aim to be one of the final three teams to qualify for this summer’s Euros in Germany.

Rob Page’s side face a crucial semi final against Finland tonight in Cardiff, with the winner progressing to Tuesday night’s final, against the winner of the other semi final in Path A between Poland and Estonia, which will also be in Cardiff should Wales make it that far.

The Dragons made it through to the play-offs as a second attempt at qualification following their placement in the Nations League campaign last season, after finishing outside the top two in Group D of qualifying last autumn.

Turkey and Croatia finished ahead of Page’s men in qualification, the latter of the two finishing four points clear of Wales in third place, and head into their first match of 2024 having gone unbeaten in their last six games of the last year.

Wales’ last two matches at the Cardiff City stadium have result in a 1-1 against a strong Turkey side who finished top of the qualifying group, and a 2-1 win over a Croatia side who finished third in the 2022 World Cup just 15 months ago.

Wales, should they win tonight’s semi final and Tuesday’s final, will be drawn into Group D in Germany this summer, where they’ll first take on the Netherlands in Hamburg, then Austria in Berlin, followed by a potentially crucial match against France in Dortmund.

Finland, like Wales, failed to achieve a top two finish in qualifying, falling just three points short in what was a promising campaign for Markku Kanerva’s side, with Denmark and Slovenia taking the top two positions.

Through their Nations League campaign from last season, in which they finished second in Group B3, the Eagle Owls had done enough to have a second bite at the qualification cherry, and aim to reach the nation’s second ever major international football tournament.

The Fins qualified for Euro 2020 last time out, marking their first ever appearance at a major competition, beating Denmark in their opening game before finishing bottom of the group.

Finland make the trip to Wales having won six of their last nine matches, including three of their last four away from home, so will not make it easy, and will be boosted by the prospect a home final, should they win in Cardiff, so will not make it easy for Page’s Welshmen.

Wales are unbeaten in their last four matches against Finland, which includes wins in each of their last two competitive meetings when they were drawn together in the 2020-21 Nations League.

How to watch Wales v Finland

  • Location: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
  • Date and time: Thursday 21st March 2024, 7:45pm
  • How to watch: S4C, Viaplay Sports 1, BBC iPlayer, S4C Online

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